GBPUSD: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
The price of GBPUSD will most likely collapse soon enough, due to the supply beginning to exceed demand which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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GBPUSD trade ideas
GBP/USD: Ttrading Plan for the U.S Session Sell Below 1.3591In my morning forecast. I focused on the 1.3536 level and planned to make trading decisions based on it. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and see what happened. A rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.3536.
On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair also showed a downward movement, although the decline and the day's volatility were relatively weak. Once again, the market effectively ignored the macroeconomic background, The minimal reaction from traders was prompted by the jolts report in the U.S., which showed job openings exceeding forecasts, leading to a slight strengthening of the dollar.
Overall, everything remains the same. If the British pound falls, it does so very weakly and for a short time. Whenever there's too much, "chaos," and the dollar grows longer than expected, Trump steps in and puts everything back in its place. Thus, expecting a sustained rise in the dollar remains extremely difficult. Technically, The pair remains above the indicator lines, so the uptrend is intact despite the price breaking out of the ascending channel.
As the global trade war situation continues to worsen, the dollar lacks medium-term growth prospects. For the market, the trade war factor is currently the only thing that matters; practically all other factors are being ignored.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
On the 4-hour timeframe, GBPUSD has broken below its ascending trendline and is now trading below a key resistance zone.
We expect the pair to consolidate briefly within this area, and then move lower toward the specified support level.
As long as the price remains below the resistance and the broken trendline, the bearish bias remains valid.
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?GBP/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3543
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci re4tracement.
Stop loss: 1.3493
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3601
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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GBPUSD DAILY OUTLOOK - OVERBROUGHTGBPUSD heavily bullish
No valid pullbacks -expecting price to drop
GBPUSD has over brought and current price momentum shows that sellers can get in power
Enough sell side liquidity has been created for price to drop to discount levels
Use 2/4 hour time frame as guide and confirm if trend will shift
GBPUSD I Weekly CLS I Model 1 I TR Liquidity TPHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
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📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
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Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the GBP/USDThe test of the 1.3614level occurred when the RSI indicator had already risen significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the GBP/USD.
There has been progress in the trade negotiations between China and the United States: yesterday, both sides stated that consensus had been reached on the main issues. This breakthrough, the result of several months of intense discussions, gives hope for the stabilization of global financial markets. Though not disclosed in detail, the agreements likely included key issues such as the export of rare earth materials from China to the U.S. to China. Nevertheless, despite the optimistic statements, analysts advise against excessive enthusiasm. Previous negotiation rounds also ended with promises that were later unfulfilled. The key to success will be boss sides' ability to honor their commitments and show willingness for further concessions. The impact of this progress on the global economy is hard to overestimate. Reducing trade tensions could stimulate the growth of international trade, ease inflationary pressures, and bolster consumer confidence. However, risks remain, and the agreement's long-term outcome will depend on both countries' subsequent actions.
Today, we should pay attention to the speech by Philip Lane, a British Central Bank representative, as there are no macroeconomic releases from the the eurozone. Markets will closely monitor his rhetoric for hints regarding the central bank's plans on interest rates. Investors hope to hear more clarity from Lane about how the ECB intends to proceed with rates and whether the regulator plans further cuts this summer. Overall, Philip Lane's speech will be the key event of the day for financial markets. His comments may influence currency movements in the first half of the day. Investors are advised to watch his remarks closely and consider them in decision-making
GBPUSD → Countertrend retest of support before growthFX:GBPUSD is forming a countertrend correction to the zone of interest and liquidity while the dollar is stagnating. The market is waiting for a fundamental driver.
Within the uptrend, a countertrend correction is forming towards the liquidity zone at 1.342. Against this backdrop, the dollar is correcting and contracting towards support. The currency pair's price continues to decline, but within the uptrend, breaking the local structure but not the market character. The focus is on the current trading range of 1.342 - 1.359. A retest of support could bring the price back to resistance.
Support levels: 1.3421, 1.339
Resistance levels: 1.3507, 1.3593
A quick retest of the liquidity zone at 1.3421, the inability of GBPUSD to continue falling, a false breakdown, and the price consolidating above 1.3421 would be a good indication that buyers are trying to hold the market. In this case, we could see the price strengthen.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Potential bearish breakout?GBP/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3501
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3535
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3450
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Bearish Setup Developing!GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Bearish Setup Developing! 🔻
Chart Breakdown (H4):
📌 Resistance Zone (🔴 1.35800 – 1.36000):
The pair has been rejected multiple times from this strong resistance area, marked by multiple upper wicks and bearish pressure. Most recent price action shows another rejection, forming a lower high.
📌 Support Level (🟣 1.34732):
This key horizontal level has acted as a strong support multiple times (highlighted with 🟠 circles), suggesting bulls are attempting to defend this zone.
📉 Bearish Structure Formation:
Price recently tested resistance again and was rejected sharply.
A potential double-top or lower high structure is forming.
A break and close below the 1.34732 support will likely confirm bearish momentum.
📍 Next Target (🔻):
If support breaks, price may fall towards the support demand zone around 1.34150 – 1.34300, aligning with the marked red support box.
📈 Invalidation Point:
A clean breakout and hold above 1.36000 would invalidate this bearish bias and potentially signal continuation higher.
⚠️ Summary:
🔼 Resistance Rejection at 1.36000
🔽 Watching for break below 1.34732
🎯 Bearish target: 1.34300 zone
🔄 Invalidation: Break above 1.36000
Bias: 📉 Bearish Below 1.34732
GBP/USD - confirmation with VWAP On GBP/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.33240 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
VWAP + Uptrend and High volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
GBPUSD Will Move Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.349.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.352 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBP/USD Rally Resumes – Bullish Targets AheadHi everyone,
As outlined in our previous GBP/USD analysis (idea linked below), the Cable confirmed its continued rally following a decisive break above the 1.35195 level. This was quickly followed by a move through our highlighted levels at 1.35630 and 1.35934.
As previously noted, the clearance of these levels strengthens our expectation for further upside, with the next key level of interest around 1.36850. We'll be watching to see how price action develops from here.
We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low.
We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
The British pound's rebound was blockedThe British pound staged a technical rebound after a sharp decline on Tuesday, trading near 1.35 during the North American session. A day earlier, the exchange rate had retreated amid expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) would continue to cut rates twice within the year, triggered by weak UK labor market data. However, on Wednesday, against the backdrop of the US CPI data falling short of expectations, the US Dollar Index weakened, allowing the pound to rebound. Although the exchange rate has regained the 1.35 threshold currently, if UK economic data continues to be weak, the pound may test support levels at 1.34 or lower again.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
GBPUSD: Intraday Bullish Reversal📉GBPUSD pair approached a significant horizontal resistance last week.
The price formed a clear head and shoulders pattern, then rebounded and broke below a strong rising trend line.
This indicates considerable selling strength, suggesting that the market may continue to decline.
The next target is 1.3453.
GU-Mon-9/06/25 TDA-GU back in the range after NFPAnalysis done directly on the chart
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Mister Y
GBPUSD - Long after a structural shiftBased off of yesterdays analysis.
We can see we are fast approaching a very nice POI.
Will post below my mark up chart from yesterday so you can see below. Will now be sending most of my day on the 15min TF waiting for our structural shift to the upside.
Let's see how price plays out today.
Don't just dive into the trade. Wait for your structural shift first.
If I can offer any help please do let me know
SELL GBPUSD for bullish trend reversal STOP LOSS: 1.3720SELL GBPUSD for bullish trend reversal
STOP LOSS: 1.3720
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we
are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with….....trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here