GBPUSD Holds Above 1.34 – Is 1.35 the Launch Pad?In last week’s GBPUSD outlook, I pointed to the 1.34 zone as a potential buy area and likely end of the correction.
The market reacted as expected, reversing from 1.34 and rallying to 1.35. Toward the end of the week, a brief correction followed — but price held above 1.34 and has now returned to 1.35, printing a higher low in the process.
📌 From both a technical and psychological standpoint, 1.35 remains a key level. A confirmed break above could lead to a retest of the recent high — or even push for a new high.
✅ My bias stays bullish as long as 1.34 support remains intact.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBPUSD trade ideas
Market next target 🔍 Original Analysis Summary:
Bearish Outlook: Price is expected to decline from the recent high.
Support Level: Identified near 1.34400.
Target Zone: Around 1.34200 based on breakdown expectations.
Reasoning: Possibly based on rejection near resistance and anticipation of bearish follow-through.
---
⚠️ Disruption (Bullish/Neutral Counter-Scenario):
1. Strong Bullish Candle at Resistance
The last candle is a bullish engulfing near recent highs, indicating buyer strength.
Rather than rejecting, price appears to break out of consolidation.
---
2. Volume Supporting Bullish Momentum
Increasing green volume bars show accumulating demand, not weakness.
Could imply a liquidity grab before a bullish continuation.
---
3. Failed Breakdown Attempts
Price has attempted to fall multiple times (wicks downward), but was bought up quickly.
That often signals trap setups where short sellers are being baited.
---
4. Macro Sentiment / USD Weakness Risk
With upcoming U.S. economic news (red circle), any sign of a weaker USD could invalidate the bearish scenario entirely.
GBP tends to benefit from any shift in U.S. interest rate expectations or economic softness.
GBPUSD H1 | Bouncing Off the 78.6% FiboBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.3438, a pullback support that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3486, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.3387, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBP/USD Bullish Channel Holding–Pullback Before the Next Leg Up?This is a 4-hour chart of the British Pound vs US Dollar (GBP/USD) from FXCM, showing a strong bullish market structure within a rising parallel channel.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Uptrend Channel: Price has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows within a well-defined ascending channel.
Support Zones: Three horizontal levels are marked at 1.348, 1.333, and 1.326 — likely acting as short-term demand zones or reaction points.
Projection Path (Red Line): A pullback into the lower part of the channel (likely near 1.333–1.326 zone) is anticipated, followed by a bullish continuation toward the upper channel resistance.
🧭 Market Outlook:
Bias: Bullish while above channel support.
Buy Area: Ideal long setup may develop around the 1.333–1.326 support region.
Target Zone: Potential continuation toward 1.410+ if the structure holds.
This chart favors trend continuation after a correction, aligning with smart money accumulation and institutional flow behavior within a bullish channel.
GBP-USD Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair already
Made a rebound from the
Horizontal support level
Around 1.3431 from where
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP/USD – Where the real game beginsMost traders keep refreshing the chart, waiting for something obvious to happen. But here’s the thing...
The obvious move is never the most profitable one. The market rewards those who understand context, not just candlestick shapes.
Take a deeper look at this pair right now.
You’ll notice something subtle — but powerful.
📍 We’ve been consolidating right above a demand zone that’s been respected multiple times.
📉 Sellers tried to break it... failed.
📈 Buyers stepped in... quietly. No fireworks. Just clean defense.
This isn’t your average support line. This is where liquidity gets trapped, where retail gets impatient, and where smart money fills up before liftoff.
It’s the type of setup that doesn’t scream — it whispers. And if you’re listening, you know this isn’t random.
🔎 While most are distracted by noise, the structure is forming beneath the surface.
A slow coil of price, compression of volatility — and then... expansion.
And no, I won’t drop the entry, stop or TP here.
Because real traders don’t chase numbers — they read the narrative.
📚
#gbpusd #forexstrategy #institutionaltrading #smartmoneyflow #supplyanddemand #priceaction #marketpsychology #liquiditytrap #notforbeginners #telegramonly
Potential bearish drop?GBP/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3346
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.3591
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.3346
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Cable (GBP/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3314
1st Support: 1.3159
1st Resistance: 1.3566
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSDGBP/USD Interest Rate, Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–June 2025)
1. Current Interest Rates (Policy Rates)
Bank of England (BoE) Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps on May 7, 2025) .
Federal Reserve Rate: 4.25–4.50% (target range maintained as of May 29, 2025) .
Interest Rate Differential:
4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0%
The Fed holds a slight advantage, but the differential is nearly neutral.
2. 10-Year Bond Yields
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (May 21, 2025), near a one-month high due to sticky inflation .
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.51% (May 29, 2025) .
Yield Spread:
4.77% (UK)−4.51% (US)=+0.26%
The UK’s higher bond yield offers a modest carry trade advantage.
3. Dollar Index (DXY) Context
Current DXY Level: ~98.4 (testing key support as of May 2025, per prior analysis).
Drivers:
Fed’s steady rates and resilient US economic data support USD.
BoE’s dovish pivot (rate cuts) and UK inflation risks (April CPI at 3.5% YoY) weigh on GBP .
4. Carry Trade Directional Bias
GBP/USD Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, driven by the +0.26% bond yield spread favoring GBP.
Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding UK gilts, supporting GBP demand.
Risks:
BoE Dovishness: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread.
Fed Policy: Prolonged rate holds or hawkish signals may strengthen USD.
Inflation Dynamics: UK’s elevated CPI (3.5% YoY) vs. US disinflation could delay BoE easing.
Key Data and Events
US: Nonfarm payrolls (June 6), Fed speakers, and inflation updates.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD)
Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50%
10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.51%
Yield Spread +0.26% (GBP over USD) —
Inflation (YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) ~2.6–3.0% (est.)
DXY Level — ~98.4 (testing support)
Conclusion
Interest Rate Differential: Neutral policy rates but a +0.26% UK bond yield advantage supports GBP/USD.
Carry Trade: Modest bullish bias for GBP due to higher gilt yields, though BoE dovishness and USD resilience cap gains.
DXY Outlook: USD strength may persist if Fed maintains rates, but GBP could benefit from sticky inflation delaying further BoE cuts.
Monitor UK inflation data and Fed rhetoric for directional catalysts.
GBPUSD is neutral on economic data approach,the next fed monetary policy decision will define the direction of trade .
stay cautious
#GBPUSD #DOLLAR #GBP
GBPUSDGBP/USD Interest Rate, Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–June 2025)
1. Current Interest Rates (Policy Rates)
Bank of England (BoE) Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps on May 7, 2025) .
Federal Reserve Rate: 4.25–4.50% (target range maintained as of May 29, 2025) .
Interest Rate Differential:
4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0%
The Fed holds a slight advantage, but the differential is nearly neutral.
2. 10-Year Bond Yields
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (May 21, 2025), near a one-month high due to sticky inflation .
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.51% (May 29, 2025) .
Yield Spread:
4.77% (UK)−4.51% (US)=+0.26%
The UK’s higher bond yield offers a modest carry trade advantage.
3. Dollar Index (DXY) Context
Current DXY Level: ~98.4 (testing key support as of May 2025, per prior analysis).
Drivers:
Fed’s steady rates and resilient US economic data support USD.
BoE’s dovish pivot (rate cuts) and UK inflation risks (April CPI at 3.5% YoY) weigh on GBP .
4. Carry Trade Directional Bias
GBP/USD Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, driven by the +0.26% bond yield spread favoring GBP.
Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding UK gilts, supporting GBP demand.
Risks:
BoE Dovishness: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread.
Fed Policy: Prolonged rate holds or hawkish signals may strengthen USD.
Inflation Dynamics: UK’s elevated CPI (3.5% YoY) vs. US disinflation could delay BoE easing.
Key Data and Events
US: Nonfarm payrolls (June 6), Fed speakers, and inflation updates.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD)
Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50%
10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.51%
Yield Spread +0.26% (GBP over USD) —
Inflation (YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) ~2.6–3.0% (est.)
DXY Level — ~98.4 (testing support)
Conclusion
Interest Rate Differential: Neutral policy rates but a +0.26% UK bond yield advantage supports GBP/USD.
Carry Trade: Modest bullish bias for GBP due to higher gilt yields, though BoE dovishness and USD resilience cap gains.
DXY Outlook: USD strength may persist if Fed maintains rates, but GBP could benefit from sticky inflation delaying further BoE cuts.
Monitor UK inflation data and Fed rhetoric for directional catalysts.
GBPUSD is neutral on economic data approach,the next fed monetary policy decision will define the direction of trade .
stay cautious
#GBPUSD #DOLLAR #GBP
GBPUSD Weekly overview Jun 1, 2025 – Jun 7, 2025We are approaching a strong HTF reversal level from lower prices. It means we might have some unexpectable strong bearish players in the market. I'll take a little less than normal for the bullish trades.
While the mid-term overview indicates us a bullish trend some bearish move won't surprise me.
*******************************************************
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
GBPUSDGBP/USD Interest Rate, Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–June 2025)
1. Current Interest Rates (Policy Rates)
Bank of England (BoE) Rate: 4.25% (cut by 25bps on May 7, 2025) .
Federal Reserve Rate: 4.25–4.50% (target range maintained as of May 29, 2025) .
Interest Rate Differential:
4.25% (BoE)−4.25–4.50% (Fed)=−0.25% to 0%
The Fed holds a slight advantage, but the differential is nearly neutral.
2. 10-Year Bond Yields
UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: 4.77% (May 21, 2025), near a one-month high due to sticky inflation .
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.51% (May 29, 2025) .
Yield Spread:
4.77% (UK)−4.51% (US)=+0.26%
The UK’s higher bond yield offers a modest carry trade advantage.
3. Dollar Index (DXY) Context
Current DXY Level: ~98.4 (testing key support as of May 2025, per prior analysis).
Drivers:
Fed’s steady rates and resilient US economic data support USD.
BoE’s dovish pivot (rate cuts) and UK inflation risks (April CPI at 3.5% YoY) weigh on GBP .
4. Carry Trade Directional Bias
GBP/USD Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, driven by the +0.26% bond yield spread favoring GBP.
Mechanics: Investors borrow USD (lower policy rate) to invest in higher-yielding UK gilts, supporting GBP demand.
Risks:
BoE Dovishness: Further rate cuts could narrow the yield spread.
Fed Policy: Prolonged rate holds or hawkish signals may strengthen USD.
Inflation Dynamics: UK’s elevated CPI (3.5% YoY) vs. US disinflation could delay BoE easing.
Key Data and Events
US: Nonfarm payrolls (June 6), Fed speakers, and inflation updates.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) United States (USD)
Policy Rate 4.25% 4.25–4.50%
10-Year Bond Yield 4.77% 4.51%
Yield Spread +0.26% (GBP over USD) —
Inflation (YoY) 3.5% (April 2025) ~2.6–3.0% (est.)
DXY Level — ~98.4 (testing support)
Conclusion
Interest Rate Differential: Neutral policy rates but a +0.26% UK bond yield advantage supports GBP/USD.
Carry Trade: Modest bullish bias for GBP due to higher gilt yields, though BoE dovishness and USD resilience cap gains.
DXY Outlook: USD strength may persist if Fed maintains rates, but GBP could benefit from sticky inflation delaying further BoE cuts.
Monitor UK inflation data and Fed rhetoric for directional catalysts.
GBPUSD is neutral on economic data approach,the next fed monetary policy decision will define the direction of trade .
stay cautious
#GBPUSD #DOLLAR #GBP
GBPUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
GBPUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
While the Bank of England has rate-cut expectations, markets are divided on the magnitude of the cut, and the UK economy faces uncertainties such as trade risks.
Uncertainties persist regarding the impact of U.S. economic data on the U.S. dollar’s strength, and the effects of Trump’s policies on the economic and monetary policies of both countries remain to be seen.
Technical Analysis:
Short-term momentum is weak, with MACD histogram continuing to show negative values, indicating strong bearish pressure. A failure to break above overhead resistance may extend the downward trend.
Key support lies near 1.13378, while resistance is seen around 1.13533.
Trading Recommendations:
Aggressive traders may initiate light short positions near the resistance zone.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@1.14000-1.13500
TP:1.13300
Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
GBP/USD Daily Chart – Approaching Key Reversal
📉 GBP/USD Daily Chart – Approaching Key Reversal Zone
Price has tapped into the major selling zone (around 1.38000), aligned with long-term trendline resistance.
🔻 Bearish Outlook Active:
If this level holds, we may see a rejection and a drop toward the demand zone near 1.29000–1.30000.
⚠️ Short-term buyers beware — this could be the last push before reversal.
💡 Watch for confirmation candles or a break of the minor support (yellow zone) to validate the move.
🗣️ Do you see a sell setup here, or are bulls still in control? Drop your view below 👇
#GBPUSD #ForexAnalysis #GreenFireForex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #ForexTrading
---