BTCUSD trade ideas
BTCUSD Double Tap Into OB Before Massive Sell-Off! 2,000+ PipsHere’s why this could be one of the cleanest bearish setups of the week based on institutional flow and price action:
🚨 Step 1: Liquidity Engineering in Full Effect
We’ve got multiple areas where price was engineered to grab liquidity — clearly visible with those highlighted zones. Bitcoin pumped into a Strong High, tagging liquidity above a key trendline while respecting an internal parallel channel.
This move was not random. It was a textbook liquidity sweep.
🔁 Step 2: Order Block + 70.5% Fib Confluence
After the sweep, price retraced precisely into a bearish Order Block that overlaps perfectly with the 70.5% Fibonacci level — a hidden gem Smart Money loves to use for optimal entries. It’s the sniper zone.
This is where the first rejection came in, marking the start of bearish intent.
⚠️ Step 3: Break of Structure + Weak Low Exposed
As price dropped, it broke back under a weak low, confirming shift in market structure. This is your Change of Character (ChoCh) — the moment sellers regain control.
We’re now seeing retracement candles struggling to push above the OB/Fib zone. Rejection here confirms the setup.
🎯 Target Zones Breakdown:
✅ TP1 - Weak low around 110,200
✅ TP2 - -27% Extension (~109,500)
✅ TP3 - -62% Fib extension (109,268)
🚀 Extended Target - Possible sweep of Sell Side Liquidity all the way to 108,000–107,500
This is a potential 2000+ pip move if the full extension plays out.
🧠 Market Psychology in Play:
Institutions love to trap traders long after major breakouts. That last pump into the high? It wasn’t retail demand — it was liquidity generation. Now that they’ve swept the highs, they're driving price down to rebalance and mitigate.
Every highlighted zone on this chart? It’s a Smart Money footprint.
📌 Entry Game Plan:
Watch how price behaves around the current OB zone (111,250–111,618).
If price rejects and flips back under the midpoint (111,116), that’s your trigger.
Enter with tight SL above 111,750 and aim for TP1, TP2, and trail the rest to TP3 or lower.
📈 Risk Management Reminder:
Set your SL above structure.
Don’t overleverage — this is a clean setup, but patience is 🔑.
Let price come to you, not the other way around.
✍️ Final Thoughts:
This BTCUSD setup screams Smart Money — we’ve got:
Liquidity grabs ✅
Clean OB + Fib confluence ✅
ChoCh + structural rejection ✅
Strong R:R with multiple targets ✅
This might be the move to catch before the weekend liquidity sweep.
💬 Comment "BTC MOVE" if you’re watching this with me!
🔁 Tag your trading fam who needs to see this breakdown!
BTC: New All-Time High, What's Next?#Bitcoin reached a new ATH this week, confirming the early April low as a key bottom. With no resistance above, the sky is the limit. But breaking $102K could signal a correction, and $74.5K would mark a major trend shift.
Still, the risk/reward for buying BTC now is poor. Based on past cycles, altcoins usually shine after BTC tops due to capital rotation. So, now is the time to focus on strong altcoins with real activity.
Bitcoin H1 | Pullback support at 23.6% Fibonacci retracementBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 109.174.00 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 105,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 113,948.50 which is a resistance that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection.
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BTCUSDT SELLING SETUPBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is showing signs of a potential selling setup as price approaches a strong resistance zone. Bearish pressure is building, and a rejection from this area could lead to a downside move.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals like bearish candlestick patterns, lower highs, or a break of structure before entering. If sellers take control, we could see BTC move toward lower support levels.
Stay alert, wait for confirmation, and manage risk smartly! 📉🔥
Technical Analysis by Ali Khan
BTC eyes on 111.7k then 117.9k: next two Genesis Fibs of concernShown here is a single fib series in 3 different timeframes.
The Genesis Sequence has caught all major turns since 2015.
If there is a "top" around here, it will be one of these fibs.
$ 111,661.75 (Coinbase) is a minor ratio level
$ 117,868.00 is the Semi-Major fib ratio ABOVE.
$ 105,451.85 is the Semi-Major fib ratio BELOW.
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Previous Plots below
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$104k Top of 2024:
$90k Dip call (scalp):
$75k Bottom call:
$69k Top of 2021:
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BTC short term correction A rectangle consolidation near recent highs (potential distribution or continuation) trading in sideways
Volume is Declining (red arrow), which during consolidation usually suggests weakening momentum.
RSI Divergence: RSI is forming lower highs while price is forming equal highs → This is a bearish divergence.
Trade Setup: Looks like a short position has been taken with:
Entry: Nears support(~110,200)
Stop-loss: Just above resistance (111,840)
Target: Lower zone of support (~108,700)
Key Signals
B earish Divergence on RSI: Indicates weakening bullish momentum .
F alling Volume: Suggests lack of conviction from bulls at the high s.
Equal Highs on Price: While RSI declines, this adds weight to the short bias.
Tight stop-loss (risk-managed)
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts: If price breaks above the rectangle with volume, your stop might get triggered, but it would invalidate the bearish setup anyway.
Thanks,
BTC/USDI'm thinking this is the top.
"The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent."
The problem with calling the top is you're going to be wrong for several months, even if you're extremely conscious about how irrational a market can get...
The greater the hatred in the comments, the bigger the shorts.
Expecting this to bounce around in this range for a couple days and finish with a new high.
Followed by a tremendous wave of reality.
We'll use war as the news that justifies it, even though war has been all the news for many months and has affected nothing.
BTCUSD update May 22nd, 2025I have returned and here is my updated chart. I'm such a perfectionist sometimes when it comes to lines that it takes my hours to get them exactly how I envision. To start off, yes I am bullish on Bitcoin and believe that this cycle hasn't ended yet but I will admit that I think the end of it is closer than the beginning. With that being said, I will not disappear when the bear market starts, I will simply make updates and try to catch the bottom like I did in the past. So far I am going with history and my bottom target is above 66,800 and I expect the floor to fizzle out around 71-73k; if it ends up being higher than that, great! Overall this idea is just an update for my own personal records and my prediction is based on what has happen that last time this pattern was brought to us.
Stay safe out there, happy trading, and as always--Cheers!
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This chart shows a 2-hour candlestick view of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the Bitstamp exchange, with technical analysis annotations indicating a potential trade setup:
Entry Area: Around 111,911 (current market price).
Target (Take Profit): Around 113,521 (green zone), marked by the bullseye icon and a projected upward movement.
Stop Loss: Around 109,277 (red zone), noted below the support area and highlighted in orange.
Trend: The price appears to be in a bullish channel, with recent price action forming a flag or consolidation pattern that could break to the upside.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential upside target is significantly higher than the stop loss range.
This setup implies a long position (buy trade) is anticipated, betting on a breakout to the upside from the current consolidation zone. Let me know if you'd like an analysis of the strategy's viability or other insights!