SELL BTCUSDBTCUSD price could start declining from this supply area. There seems to have been a bullish break however, it may be a fake out so wait for price to fall back inside
BTCUSD trade ideas
BITCOIN under brutal 4H squeeze. Buyers or sellers will prevail?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently under the strongest squeeze we've seen this year as it's being compressed between the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Such tight price action usual precedes explosive moves.
Technically two patterns prevail: a long-term Channel Up and a short-term Head and Shoulders (H&S). Naturally, as long as the Channel Up holds (and is still valid), the pattern will attempt to push the price to he 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $121500 (and higher). If on the other hand it breaks (4H MA200 would be an early signal), the H&S may push the price to the -1.0 Fibonacci extension at $95000.
So what do you think? Which pattern will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: Break Out Or Fake Out Can Be Long.Bitcoin has adhered to my previous week's anticipated scenario almost exactly. While this may be a coincidence, I have called similar scenarios like this numerous times just see my previous articles, I left the illustration on the chart. From here, there are two scenarios to consider, one offering greater probability than the other. Let me explain.
First consider that the Bitcoin trend has never changed. The broader tend is bullish and the previous weeks only saw a brief corrective structure which found support in the 102K AREA )see my previous article). A reversal developed and confirmed and now we are in the process of rallying back toward the highs.
Scenario 1 The Breakout: IF the high 106's are cleared, it is possible price can break out to potentially test the next resistance around the 110K area. Since this environment is typically a lower volume time of year, I believe there is a greater chance of fake out. How you manage the risk all depends on the time frame you operate on. Smaller time frames can pin point more accurate signs of follow through while maintaining tighter risk while taking the breakout on this time frame exposes you to more risk. If taking the breakout on this time frame, consider mitigating risk with smaller size or being prepared to exit IF a conflicting signal appears like a bearish pin bar.
Scenario 2 The Retrace: IF price rejects the 106K area (fake out possibility) then I will be watching for a retest of the 104K area minor support. This is the level where I would be looking for confirmation patterns like bullish pin bars etc. This would not only constitute a higher low but also establish a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern. I do not put a lot of emphasis on the broader pattern, but it can help foster a self fulfilling prophecy. This reversal offers a greater probability since it is coming from a pullback within a broader bullish trend. Also the profit objective is greater since the 110K resistance would still be the same.
How you mange this again depends on the type of strategies you employ. My analysis is meant to provide an overall roadmap of the possibilities that I anticipate and nothing more. If you are a day trader this information will not be used the same way compared to if you are a swing trader. The key is how you define the risk and the confirmations. If the market rejects both scenarios, then we simply have to readjust to the new information that becomes available.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC/USD..chart pattern..BTCUSD trade setup based on the chart pattern details
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🟠 Trade Idea: BTCUSD Sell
Sell Entry: 105,500
Resistance Level: 101,000
Target 1: 99,000
Target 2: 93,000
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🔍 Interpretation
Pattern Implied: Although you didn't name the exact chart pattern, this setup suggests a bearish reversal — potentially from a double top, head and shoulders, or bearish rising wedge.
Sell Entry at 105,500 implies BTC has recently bounced or failed at a resistance zone.
Resistance at 101,000 being below the sell entry might be a typo — or possibly meant to show a recent break above a now-invalidated level.
Targets at 99,000 and 93,000 suggest a step-down approach — taking partial profits or expecting continued selling pressure.
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📊 Risk/Reward Overview
Entry Stop Loss (assumed) Target 1 Target 2 R:R (to 99K) R:R (to 93K)
105,500 ~107,000 (1.5K risk) 99,000 93,000 ~4.3:1 ~8.3:1
> Note: These R:R figures are rough estimates assuming a 1.5K stop loss above entry.
---
🔔 Key Considerations
Confirm Chart Pattern: Ensure there’s a confirmed bearish pattern with volume confirmation.
Check Momentum Indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for bearish divergence or trend exhaustion.
Support Levels: Watch for buying reaction near 99,000 and stronger support near 93,000.
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Would you like me to:
1. Analyze the actual BTCUSD chart and validate this pattern?
2. Draw the setup visually?
3. Suggest a better stop-loss level or trailing strategy?
Let me know!
BITCOIN Is this even a possibility?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently on a short-term pull-back, following the impressive rally to new All Time Highs (ATH) from the April 07 bottom. This first 'serious' short-term relief correction has stopped on the former Lower Highs trend-line, which previous acted as a Resistance and is now holding the price from further downfall, acting potentially as Support.
This is the exact same price action that BTC had during its break-out from the previous Lower Highs trend-line last October. The symmetry between the two fractals is remarkable as not only did they both form their 1D Death Cross patterns on their bottoms and their 1D Golden Cross patterns on the Lower Highs break-out but also their Phase 1 rallies (1st Bullish Leg) have been exactly the same: +49.58%.
As a result, as long as the Pivot holds, there is a good chance we see a strong rebound, which if it holds the same total symmetry of the previous fractal, it should peak at +120%, which gives a $164000 Target.
Do you think that's even a possibility? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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THE END OF BTC!🚨 SOMETHING BIG IS COMING TO THE CRYPTO MARKET 🚨
Two massive bearish divergences flashing on the HIGHER TIMEFRAMES:
🟥 WEEKLY
🟥 MONTHLY
This is NOT just noise. These divergences don’t show up for fun — they often precede violent corrections.
We might be standing right in front of a major crash.
Maybe not from today, but August could be the breaking point.
Risk is growing.
Liquidity is thinning.
Smart money is already adjusting.
If you think the bull run will last forever — think again.
I’m watching this setup VERY closely.
🚩 Stay sharp. Stay protected.
Bitcoin - We have to see new highs now!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - is now at the previous highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It could really not be more exciting on Bitcoin at the moment. With the current "all or nothing" potential breakout or double top creation, we will either see a bullrun or a bear market. So far, bulls are still strong, so the chances of a breakout luckily remain higher.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
This is a deception or maybe a technique !!!I think this head and shoulders pattern is trying to deceive us and is fake. I expect the price to drop to the support line and then rise to $109k. WAIT FOR IT....
Give me some energy !!
The Crypto Market Game: How to Win Against Fear and Manipulation
Did you really think profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they’ll let you buy low, hold, and sell high without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win.
They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will create panic, causing you to sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there’s fear, not sell—because your panic gives them cheap assets.
This is how the game works: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sell-off. They make it look like the end of the world so you abandon everything. And when the market rises again, you’re left sitting there asking, “What just happened?”
This is not an accident. It’s a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear, forcing you to give up. When you panic, they profit. They don’t just play the market—they play you. That’s why most people never succeed: they fall into the same traps over and over again.
People don’t realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They block out the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever.
We’ve seen this play out hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them back to you at the top—leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened.
Don’t play their game. Play your own.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Waiting For BreakoutIt appears that ⚠️Bitcoin is gearing up for a bullish trend.
Analyzing the 4H time frame, I spotted a bullish flag pattern and a confrimed breakout of its upper boundary.
The final hurdle for buyers is the resistance level between 105,880 and 106,934 on the 4-hour chart.
A successful break and close above this range would signal a significant bullish indication, potentially leading to a continuation towards at least 111,500.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart Analysis – Double Top Signals BearishPattern Formed: DOUBLE TOP
⚠️ Bearish Reversal Pattern Spotted!
📍 Formed near 111,794.8
⬆️ Price tested the top twice and failed – strong resistance confirmed!
Key Zones:
🔶 SUPPLY ZONE (Resistance):
🟧 111,794.8 - 111,829.8
🔼 Expect selling pressure here!
🔷 SUPPORT Zone (Broken!):
🔻 Price fell below this level, confirming a bearish breakout
🟩 TARGET ZONE:
🎯 102,500.0
✅ This is the likely drop target based on the pattern
🧊 Other minor supports:
* 102,820.6
* 102,750.8
* 102,227.0.
Indicators:
📈 Trend Line
* Supported the price during the uptrend
* ❌ Now broken — indicates momentum shift
📉 EMA 70 (Red Line)
* Current Price (108,238.6) is below EMA 70 = 109,245.0
* Indicates bearish pressure.
Trade Setup:
🔽 Short Entry Idea: After support break
🛑 Stop Loss: 111,829.8
🎯 Take Profit: 102,500.0
⚖️ Risk-Reward looks attractive!
Summary:
📉 Bearish bias confirmed by:
* Double Top pattern
* Supply zone rejection
* Support break
* EMA crossover
🚨 Traders Watch Out: Bears are in control — next major stop likely at 102,500.0!
BTC Macro Cycle Outlook (Log Chart)Bitcoin continues to respect its logarithmic ascending channel that has defined every major bull and bear cycle since 2015. Each cycle top has historically aligned with the upper blue trendline, marked by sharp rejections (red arrows 🔴).
Currently, BTC is pushing within a steep short-term channel, mirroring previous parabolic phases. If the structure holds, we could see a final push toward the $300,000 zone, which aligns with the channel resistance — potentially marking the next cycle top.
📈 This chart captures the bigger picture — filtering out short-term noise and focusing on the rhythm of Bitcoin’s long-term cycles.
Do you think this cycle will end like the last two? Or are we in for something different?
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC Short. Its time to correctionStrong Sell Limits sitting at our entry level!
SELL LIMIT / SWING TRADE
ENTRY: 106106.3
SL: 109676.8
TP: 93409.1
Bearish trend is active and this would be the time for correction and even maybe for 91350 gap close .
Join our free DC group for more and faster news about market. Forex,Crypto,Stocks - Fifteenmin crypto group. Dm me if you enjoy this idea.
BITCOIN Log Channel and Waves show we're nowhere near the top.This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on its Logarithmic Growth Channel with the use of Rainbow Waves on it. This model accounts for the Halvings (light blue vertical lines) and with the use of Fibonacci Time extensions, it estimates the potential Cycle Bottoms (green vertical lines) and Tops (red vertical lines) within the Parabolic Growth Curve.
A fair value is estimated around the purple trend-line (zone top and bottom) as well as a maximum (red trend-line) and minimum (light blue trend-line) wave.
Interestingly enough, BTC hit that minimum wave trend-line on the April 07 2025 Low for the first time since June 17 2017, making it the strongest buy signal we could get at this stage of the Cycle.
So based on all the above, Bitcoin is nowhere near the top of its Cycle and this isn't just because it hasn't yet touched the next red vertical line (Time Fib 4.382) which is on October 27 2025, but also because it is currently trading below the Fair Value Zone (even below its bottom half).
Both previous Cycles topped considerably above that Fair Value Zone and almost hit the maximum wave. Even if by October 27 2025, Bitcoin 'only' hits the purple (Fair Value) trend-line, it would have reached $135000 and if earlier it can even hit $145000. That is the bare minimum based on that model. If it hits the top of the Fair Value Zone by October 27, then we can see prices as high as $180000 even.
Which price do you think we are more likely to see? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD NEXT MOVE (EXPECTING MILD BEARISH)(02-06-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (02-06-2025) (SHORT TERM)
Current price- 104500
"if Price stay below 1,07,000 then next target is 1,03500, 1,02500 and 1,00000 above that 1,11,000.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
BTCUSD: Just hit the 1D MA50 and is rebounding.Bitcoin turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.000, MACD = 923.400, ADX = 25.014) as it hit its 1D MA50 for the first time since April 19th. That is a straight up buy signal, especially since the the current Channel Up with its 1D RSI HL structure, resembles September - December 2024. TP = 165,000.
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BITCOIN : The Moment of Truth.Ladies and gentlemen the moment of truth has arrived for Bitcoin.
The set up will be completed once it test recent low by end of week (if not sooner).
Should start its journey to break the ATHs and continue higher and I mean IT MUST cause it will have only 3 more weeks to break the ATHs and advance to the $118k line before a pullback, NO IFs or BUTs. Once it bounces and if it fails to break res line $107k then door will be open for new numbers below $100k.
Place your bets ladies and gentlemen and buckle up we are heading for a wild...wild ride.
#BTC/USD Close Fight but bulls win! $117K Still in sight!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Weekly Update:
BTC closed the week up by just 0.08%, leaving behind a long wick and a tiny body, forming a Dragonfly Doji, one of the strongest candlestick patterns, signalling a fierce battle between bulls and bears.
✅ This time, the bulls won by a small margin, but a win is a win.
✅ BTC successfully held its key support.
✅ The CC is green, which is a positive sign.
The price action remains choppy, but the trend is still pushing upward from here.
Invalidation:- Weekly Close below $100k
What do you think?
Do let me know in the comments section. And please hit the like button.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC / USD 1hr 110K INC!BTC/USD – 1H Chart Analysis
📝 Trend Overview:
BTC is showing signs of a bullish reversal, forming higher highs and higher lows, supported by the broadening bottom pattern. This formation often signals accumulation and precedes breakout moves. The market has now bounced three times from the demand zone, reinforcing its validity as a strong support.
📍 Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone:
103,201.46 – 104,197.07
Price has tested this zone multiple times and bounced, indicating strong buying interest.
☑️ Supply Zone:
110,098.80 – 111,330.54
Significant historical resistance. If BTC reaches this zone, expect strong selling pressure.
📥 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
1H FVG: 105,746.93 – 106,157.49
Aligned with the Fibonacci Golden Pocket (0.618–0.786) retracement, increasing confluence.
4H FVG: 107,337.85 – 107,738.15
Key level for potential breakout or rejection.
✅ Targets:
TP1: 1H FVG zone (~106k)
TP2: 4H FVG zone (~107.5k)
TP3: Supply zone (~110k–111k)
❌ Invalidation:
Break and close below the demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias short term.
📊 Volume Profile & OBV:
Volume Profile (Right Side):
High activity zones between 105k–107k show areas of interest for both bulls and bears.
📊 OBV (On-Balance Volume):
Currently consolidating, which suggests accumulation and potential for a breakout once volume picks up.
🧠 Summary:
BTC has regained bullish momentum following multiple rejections from the demand zone and the formation of a broadening bottom. If the price confirms a higher low at or above 104,925, expect a move towards the 106k and possibly the 110k region. Monitor price action at the FVGs for reactions and profit-taking opportunities.
(NOTE: This is a spot trade - Leverage at your own risk and research)
BTCUSD..Chart pattern..Trade Setup (Short / Sell BTCUSD)
Entry: 105,000
Resistance (Potential Invalidator): 109,000
Take Profit (TP):
1st Target: 96,000
2nd Target: 92,000
No stop loss specified — it's essential to define one for risk management. A common approach is placing SL just above resistance (e.g., 109,500 or 110,000).
Risk & Reward (Assuming Stop Loss = 110,000)
Risk (SL - Entry): 110,000 – 105,000 = 5,000 points
Reward:
TP1 (96,000): 9,000 points → Risk/Reward ≈ 1:1.8
TP2 (92,000): 13,000 points → Risk/Reward ≈ 1:2.6
Trade Notes
Resistance at 109,000 should be monitored closely; a breakout above could invalidate the setup.
Bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection candles or breakdown from trendlines) would add confidence to the short.
Consider scaling out at 96,000 and trailing your stop for a potential move to 92,000.
Market context matters — this type of short trade assumes BTC is overbought or facing macro resistance.
VWMA : Example Volume weighted Moving Average
🔍 VWMA in Crypto Trading
Smarter than simple MAs. Powered by volume.
What is VWMA?
🎯 VWMA = Price + Volume Combined
Unlike SMA/EMA, VWMA gives more weight to high-volume candles.
✅ Shows where the real trading pressure is.
Why Use VWMA?
💥 Volume Confirms Price
Price movement + High Volume = Stronger Signal
VWMA adjusts faster when volume spikes
📊 More reliable in volatile crypto markets.
Some VWMA Settings
📊 Optimal VWMA Periods by Timeframe
🕒 15m – VWMA 20 → For scalping
🕞 30m – VWMA 20/30 → Intraday breakouts
🕐 1h – VWMA 30/50 → Trend filter + RSI combo
🕓 4h – VWMA 50/100 → Swing trading
📅 1D – VWMA 50/100/200 → Macro trend + S/R levels
Go through different settings to see what suits you best.
VWMA in Action
📈 Price Above VWMA = Bullish Strength
More confidence in uptrend
Especially valid during high volume surges
🟢 Great confluence with MA 7/9 in short-term setups
Dynamic Support/Resistance
🛡️ VWMA Reacts to Market Strength
Acts as dynamic support or resistance—especially when volume increases.
Useful in catching pullback entries or trailing SLs.
🚦 Filter Fakeouts with VWMA + MA
✅ Use in confluence for stronger edge.
Tips for VWMA
📌 Use shorter VWMA (20–30) for entries
📌 Use longer VWMA (50–200) for trend validation
🎯 Works best in trending, high-volume conditions
BITCOIN The beauty of structured patterns. $150k is next.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has invalidated all bias calling for a deeper pull-back after May's new All Time High (ATH), as yesterday it broke above the previous ATH Resistance, invalidating the short-term Head and Shoulders pattern, while rebounding last week exactly on the dashed Lower Highs trend-line, confirming it as a Support level.
Within BTC's 3 year Channel Up pattern, we have seen this price action structure another 3 times. The minimum rise on such pattern has been +101% and that wasn't even a Lower Highs rebound. The other two that were exactly like the current formation, increased by a lot more.
As a result, we expect Bitcoin to complete a minimum +101% rise from the April 07 bottom, which translates to a clean $150000 Target.
Do you think the structure ill continue to hold up to $150k and possibly beyond? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Will it catch up to the rising Global Liquidity again?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to stage yet another short-term rally on its Tariff War recovery Bullish Leg but the picture is even more interesting on the long-term.
This is a simple yet very powerful and explanatory chart where it shows that every time the Global Liquidity (blue trend-line) led the uptrend and started rising before BTC on this Bull Cycle (since the November 2022 bottom), BTC eventually caught up to the trend and closed the Gap.
This time Global Liquidity has been rising since the start of the year (early January) while Bitcoin only started to do so since April 07. Even if the Global Liquidity pauses here, Bitcoin still has the potential to continue rising irrespectively.
How high do you think this can go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD Wave Count: Bitcoin Unfolding Wave ((5)) ?Hello Friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts,
Let's analyze the Bitcoin chart today using Elliott Wave theory. As we can see, Bitcoin recently made a high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025. We've marked this as the completion of Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)). After that, it dropped to complete Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025. Now, it's moving up, possibly unfolding Wave ((5)). According to Elliott Wave principles, Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. So, our nearest invalidation level is the 31st May's low at $103000. If the price sustains above this level, we can expect it to move towards $115,000 as a Projected Target of wave ((5)). However, if it breaks below the invalidation level, we'll need to re-analyze the wave counts. We've also drawn some trend lines, marked in black dotted lines, which act as support and resistance. This is a 1-hour time frame chart. The red line marking the nearest invalidation level is crucial. If it breaks, we'll need to adjust our wave counts. If it holds, we can expect the price to move up towards $115,000. Let's see how the market unfolds. Please note that this is an educational analysis and not a trading tip or advice.
Analysis Summary
- Analyzing Bitcoin chart using Elliott Wave theory to understand market trends and potential price movements.
- Recent high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025, & Recent Low around $103,000 on 31st May 2025 indicates a significant turning point in the market.
Wave Count
- Completed Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)) suggests a major uptrend has concluded.
- Completed Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025 indicates a correction phase has ended.
- Possibly unfolding Wave ((5)) implies a new uptrend may be emerging.
Key Levels
- Nearest invalidation level: 31st May's low at $103,000 serves as a crucial support level.
- Projected Target: $115,000 represents a potential upside target based on Elliott Wave principles.
Elliott Wave Principles
- Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1: a key rule governing wave relationships.
- Wave ((5)) projection based on Fibonacci ratios and wave extensions.
Chart Details
- 1-hour time frame chart provides a detailed view of recent price action.
- Trend lines marked in black dotted lines highlight key support and resistance levels.
- Red line marking nearest invalidation level is crucial for validating the wave count.
Important Notes
- Breaking below the invalidation level would require re-evaluation of the wave count.
- Sustaining above the invalidation level increases confidence in the projected target.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
