US 10 YEAR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK FOR JUNE 9-13(JUNE 9 UPDATE) OvernUS 10 YEAR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK FOR JUNE 9-13 (JUNE 9 UPDATE)
Overnight
U.S. Treasuries declined following a stronger-than-expected May employment report, signaling a robust labor market and sustained economic growth, reducing expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts. Investors sold across the yield cu
Government bonds
A case for an 8% Higher for LongerThe monthly line chart is starting to look similar to the 2000-2008 timeframe; however instead of a prolonged Bear Flag; it looks like a prolonged Bull Flag in the making. Should that bull flag break to the upside; a doubling of the "pole" could put rates at or near the 8% range. (the dates rhyming
US10Y (10-Year Treasury Yield) Weekly TF 2025
📊 Chart Context
Current Yield: \~4.50%
Current Structure: Consolidation below major Fibonacci resistance, with multiple breakout and breakdown paths marked by confluence zones.
📉 Key Technical Observations
Bullish Scenario – Yield Rally (Rate Hike Cycle / Inflation Surprise)
TP1 (5.0%
US10Y Big downside potentialThe U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) has been since last week on a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) rebound, consistently rising since the April 04 Low (Support 1). The presence of the Lower Highs trend-line just above it, puts strong selling pressure long-term.
As a result, either now or upon a L
Eurobonds: Europe Seizes on Trump’s Fiscal MisstepBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The tax bill proposal put forward by the Trump administration — known as the “Big Beautiful Bill” — includes a controversial clause, number 899, which threatens to tax dividends and coupons from U.S. assets received by foreign investors from countries deemed
US 10Y TREASURY: will the Fed cut?The jobs market data were in the spotlight of investors during the previous week. The major impact came from the non-farm payrolls posted on Friday, which was better than anticipated with 139K new jobs added. The jobs market in the US continues to hold strongly, which impacts investors anticipation
Rising Yields doesn't (always) translate Dollar StrengthThe 30-year Treasure yield pushed above 5%, which should be bullish for the dollar. However, the DXY actually went lower. It seems like investors aren't just looking at yields, they're concerned about why yields are rising. It won't be pretty. If the greenback falls below 99.50, the alarm will go
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