MicroStrategy: The Dumbest Bet on WallStreetMicroStrategy: The Bitcoin Bet Masquerading as a Tech Company
Introduction: A Software Company Turned Crypto Casino
Once upon a time, MicroStrategy was a business intelligence firm. Today, it’s a Bitcoin holding company disguised as a software business.
Its market cap has ballooned to over $100 billion, not because of its software, but because of its aggressive Bitcoin purchases. Investors aren’t buying a company—they’re buying a leveraged bet on Bitcoin.
And that bet? It’s built on debt, dilution, and dangerous financial engineering.
The Math Problem: MicroStrategy’s Obscene Valuation
MicroStrategy is worth three times the value of its Bitcoin holdings. Let that sink in.
If you buy MicroStrategy stock, you’re effectively paying three times the price of Bitcoin. It’s like buying Bitcoin at $245,000 per coin when the actual market price is far lower.
This isn’t investing, it’s financial insanity.
The Debt Trap: How MicroStrategy Keeps the Illusion Alive
MicroStrategy’s entire strategy revolves around issuing debt to buy more Bitcoin. It has borrowed $7.27 billion through convertible bonds.
Here’s how the cycle works:
MicroStrategy issues debt at low interest rates.
It uses the money to buy Bitcoin.
The stock price rises because investors think it’s a genius move.
The company issues more shares to raise more money.
It buys more Bitcoin—and the cycle repeats.
This is not a sustainable business model. It’s a Ponzi-like structure that depends entirely on Bitcoin’s price continuing to rise.
The Accounting Trick: Hiding the Losses
MicroStrategy has been misleading investors with custom financial metrics. It created terms like BTC Yield and BTC $ Gain to make its Bitcoin strategy look profitable.
But in reality? It recently disclosed a $5.91 billion unrealized loss on its Bitcoin holdings. And when that news broke, its stock dropped 8.67% in a single day.
This isn’t a company, it’s a high-stakes gamble.
The Risk: What Happens When the Bubble Bursts?
MicroStrategy’s survival depends on Bitcoin’s price never crashing. If Bitcoin falls, MicroStrategy’s stock collapses.
And here’s the worst part:
If Bitcoin crashes, MicroStrategy might have to sell its holdings, triggering a death spiral.
If investors lose confidence, the company can’t issue more debt, and the illusion falls apart.
If regulators step in, MicroStrategy’s entire strategy could be dismantled.
This isn’t a safe investment. It’s a ticking time bomb.
Conclusion: The Dumbest Bet on Wall Street
MicroStrategy isn’t a tech company. It’s a leveraged Bitcoin casino.
Investors aren’t buying innovation, they’re buying hype, debt, and financial engineering. And when the illusion fades, reality will come crashing down.
So ask yourself: Are you investing in a business? Or are you just buying the dream—before it bursts?
Crypto
Minswap looks like a good entry here.Trading Fam,
I'm seeing great potential on this Minswap entry.
First, we're oversold on all lower indicators.
Secondly, we're back inside of a green liquidity block.
Third, we're on excellent support (aqua trendline).
This trade is a no brainer. I'm setting my target for an easy 25% profit target at which point I'll take half off and let the rest ride a bit longer, trailing my stops as I go.
Stew
Binance Coin Consolidation Bearish or Bullish? $975 TargetThat's the question I am about to answer.
The action is happening above the March 2024 high. Binance Coin's current consolidation is considered bullish because it is happening above this level. There is also a series of higher lows since 2-Feb. 2025. There has been a strong recovery in the last four months.
The fact that the recovery is slow and extended gives it strength.
The action is sandwiched between 0.5 and 0.618 Fib. extension levels. These two levels work as immediate resistance and support.
Bullish patterns and signals are present all across this chart.
» BNBUSDT is bullish. Next strong target and new all-time high will be $975.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Nano Will Trade At $28 in 2025, A New All-Time HighIt will be a surprise for many. It will not be a surprise for me as you can see I am sharing the chart, but many people will be surprised to see Nano trading at $28 even if it last there only a few weeks.
$28 is the standard 2025 all-time high projection for this bull market. Notice that I mention bull market all the time but there isn't really any, this is just a prediction and it will become true very soon.
XNOUSDT is now out of the long-term accumulation zone. A zone (price range) that was active in 2019-2020, before the previous bull market and also in 2022, 2023, 2024 and briefly in 2025. So Nano gave us years to buy and accumulate at amazing prices. This is about to end.
Not all is bad news—this is actually good news. Low/good prices are over but growth/high profits will enter the picture.
In short, prices will go up. Growth is starting now. Long-term growth.
Expect a long stretch of higher highs and higher lows. Can be 4-6 months of bullish action. Can be a bit less or can be more. Err on the positive side.
Namaste.
Sol, setting!? or will it rise!
In our last Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) update, we discussed the potential for a bounce and posed the critical question: would it be a retest or a reclaim? That distinction is now front and center as price action unfolds.
The 141 area remains the level bulls must defend. A clean reaction here, ideally with a supportive pattern, would create favorable conditions for upside continuation. However, if price returns above 169 , the current impulsive structure downward would be invalidated and a recount would be warranted, that could also be the end of the correction.
Zooming out, the bigger question is whether we are in the C wave of a flat correction. If that’s the case, then this impulse Should be the final move before a change in trend. Conversely, an impulse shouldn't be taken for granted nor lightly, I could set the stage for further down side. If a C wave, this pattern could set the stage for a powerful move after it completes.
In simpler terms:
If bulls hold 141 and reclaim momentum, the structure could shift bullish quickly.
If this is a flat, the C wave down is still unfolding, and we may need to endure one more leg lower before a true trend reversal.
Either way, patience is key. Let the chart print clarity.
XAG/USD..4H chart pattern..XAG/USD short (sell) trade setup:
🔻 Trade Setup (Short XAG/USD)
Sell Entry: 34.500
Resistance: 34.800 (key level – invalidation zone)
Targets:
Target 1: 32.800 (+1.70 points)
Target 2: 32.000 (+2.50 points)
📊 Risk and Reward Estimation
Let’s assume your stop loss is just above resistance, e.g., 34.900 (a 0.400 risk).
Target Reward (Points) Risk R:R Ratio
32.800 1.70 0.40 4.25
32.000 2.50 0.40 6.25
🧠 Key Considerations
✅ Resistance Confirmation: 34.800 must be holding strong as resistance; look for rejection wicks, low volume up-moves, or bearish divergence.
🔻 Trend Bias: Favorable if silver is showing signs of a local top or weakness in commodities.
🔄 Position Management:
Consider trailing stop once price breaks below 33.800.
Partial close at 32.800 to secure gains.
⚠️ Risk Note
Silver (XAGUSD) can move sharply due to news, especially related to USD, interest rates, or inflation data. Always use a stop loss.
XAU/USD.. 4h chart pattern..Here's a structured breakdown of MY Gold (XAU/USD) trade setup:
XAU/USD (Gold) Buy Setup
Entry (Buy): 3350
Stop Loss: (not specified – important to manage risk)
Targets:
🎯 1st Target: 3435
🎯 2nd Target: 3505
Potential Gain
To 1st Target: 3435 − 3350 = +85 points
To 2nd Target: 3505 − 3350 = +155 points
✅ Recommendations:
Stop Loss: You should define a stop loss — consider placing it below a recent support level (e.g., 3315 or 3290), depending on your risk tolerance and time frame.
Risk-Reward: Without a stop loss, R:R can't be calculated, but both targets offer solid profit potential if momentum continues upward.
Confirmation: Look for bullish candlestick patterns, strong volume, or support at 3350 before entering.
Partial Profit-Taking: Consider locking in profits at 3435 and trailing your stop to reduce risk on the remainder.
AUDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDCHF is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Price action has been consolidating within this structure for several weeks, creating lower highs and lower lows, but with clear bullish divergence beginning to show up in recent sessions. The breakout around the 0.53300 zone marks a significant technical confirmation that bulls are taking control, with eyes now on the 0.54400 target.
From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is gaining strength backed by hawkish sentiment from the RBA. Despite global uncertainties, the RBA’s firm stance on managing inflation is keeping the Aussie resilient. On the flip side, the Swiss franc has been showing signs of relative weakness due to softer inflation readings and safe-haven outflows as global risk sentiment improves. This macro backdrop is creating favorable conditions for AUDCHF to rally.
Technically, this breakout aligns with strong market structure and volume support, making this a high-conviction bullish setup. The breakout candle is closing above resistance with momentum, and as long as price holds above the 0.53250–0.53000 zone, bulls are likely to maintain control. With the falling wedge breakout and favorable risk-reward setup, the upside move toward 0.54400 looks increasingly probable.
This is a clean price action play with fundamental alignment. The breakout not only confirms the end of the previous downtrend, but also opens up space for a bullish wave to unfold. Momentum traders and swing traders will want to watch this closely as AUDCHF transitions from accumulation to a potential bullish expansion phase.
FET Correction Bottom Confirmed —Buy OpportunityThe next All-Time High for FETUSDT in late 2025 or early 2026 can reach between $5.42 or $8.56, giving us more than 1,600% profits potential from the current price. This is taking $8.56 as the next All-Time High. Let's get that part out of the way because I want to show you the end of the current correction. I am using the linear scale so it won't let me show you higher targets on the chart.
There was a resistance level in April 2022 as the bear market developed. This resistance was confirmed again in February 2023. It took 270 days, or 9 months, before this resistance level was conquered (broken). As soon as it broke, it was tested as support (Feb. 2024) and then a major rise. This major rise completed a long-term bullish cycle and after a bullish cycle a correction always develops.
How far down can the correction reach?
How low can prices go?
The correction started in March 2024 and is active until this present day. Obviously, the strongest resistance price range in the history of FETUSDT will need to be tested again but as support.
Now, FETUSDT bottomed last week and this bottom happened at the same level where the April 2022 and February 2023 resistance was found. As the action approached this level, volume started to go up. The next week, this week, we have a bullish candle and this is very likely the end of the correction; the bottom is in.
I just wanted to let you know that this level will hold because it was a strong resistance in the past. A resistance level once conquered turns into support.
As prices are now, it is the best possible time to enter; buy, go LONG.
This is a friendly reminder. I am wishing you tons of success and huge profits in this bull market that is just about to develop. It will be a bull market that will change the world. The world is already changing, but this bull market will close the deal. By the time it is over, Cryptocurrency will have taken over the world.
New money. The rich nouveau.
Namaste.
Chainlink Next Move Now Imminent, Strong Setup (8X)I still think that Chainlink has a strong chart setup that can start moving any time without warning.
The rise from 7-April lasted only six weeks and later the retrace lasted 3 weeks. That's 50% of the time. The sixth week that produced the peak was also a red week. When a pair is about to start moving, this is already a strong enough retrace. Three weeks out of a total of eight would be a perfect retrace, both are fibonacci numbers.
The retrace pierced the 0.5 Fib. retracement level and started to recover right above 0.618. The last candle close happened above 0.5. In short, this is perfect bullish price dynamics.
What's more, the short-term 0.618 Fib. retracement level here also marks the breakdown and recovery from July-November 2024. Back then we had a long bottom pattern and this time a short-term one. Another perfect pattern and classic; Elliotts law of alternation.
We have a good one here. I think Chainlink can be a win for us but only time will tell of course.
I thank you for reading.
First leave a comment and then follow.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC/USD..chart pattern..BTCUSD trade setup based on the chart pattern details
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🟠 Trade Idea: BTCUSD Sell
Sell Entry: 105,500
Resistance Level: 101,000
Target 1: 99,000
Target 2: 93,000
---
🔍 Interpretation
Pattern Implied: Although you didn't name the exact chart pattern, this setup suggests a bearish reversal — potentially from a double top, head and shoulders, or bearish rising wedge.
Sell Entry at 105,500 implies BTC has recently bounced or failed at a resistance zone.
Resistance at 101,000 being below the sell entry might be a typo — or possibly meant to show a recent break above a now-invalidated level.
Targets at 99,000 and 93,000 suggest a step-down approach — taking partial profits or expecting continued selling pressure.
---
📊 Risk/Reward Overview
Entry Stop Loss (assumed) Target 1 Target 2 R:R (to 99K) R:R (to 93K)
105,500 ~107,000 (1.5K risk) 99,000 93,000 ~4.3:1 ~8.3:1
> Note: These R:R figures are rough estimates assuming a 1.5K stop loss above entry.
---
🔔 Key Considerations
Confirm Chart Pattern: Ensure there’s a confirmed bearish pattern with volume confirmation.
Check Momentum Indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) for bearish divergence or trend exhaustion.
Support Levels: Watch for buying reaction near 99,000 and stronger support near 93,000.
---
Would you like me to:
1. Analyze the actual BTCUSD chart and validate this pattern?
2. Draw the setup visually?
3. Suggest a better stop-loss level or trailing strategy?
Let me know!
Technical Analysis – Velas (VLX/USD) + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis – Velas (VLX/USD) + TRADE PLAN
Date of Analysis: June 4, 2025
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4)
Current Price: $0.0023541
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal Potential)
Pattern Description: The price is consolidating within a falling wedge formation — historically a bullish reversal pattern.
Breakout Potential: If price breaks upward through the wedge resistance, strong momentum could follow.
Support Zone: $0.0020 – $0.0022 (Weekly low zone, strong historical support)
Resistance Zones:
Immediate: $0.00339 – $0.00397
Secondary: $0.00444 – $0.00513
Major: $0.00707 (high target zone)
Indicators Overview
VMC Cipher_B (Momentum Oscillator):
Momentum is deep in the red, approaching oversold territory.
Green dots signal potential bullish divergence forming (trend exhaustion).
RSI (14):
Current: 13.30 → Oversold, significant bounce potential.
Last low this deep preceded a strong rally — suggesting a possible bottom.
Arty Money Flow Index (MFI):
Shows low volume inflows → not ideal, but can turn quickly on bullish reversal.
Stochastic RSI:
Crossing upwards from deep oversold (<15).
Bullish crossover forming → early sign of reversal.
Two Scenarios – Trading Plan
Scenario A: Bullish Breakout (Primary Scenario)
Entry: On confirmed breakout of falling wedge → above $0.0026 with volume
Targets:
TP1: $0.00339
TP2: $0.00444
TP3: $0.00513
TP4 (Moon Target): $0.00707
Stop Loss: $0.00215 (below wedge bottom)
Risk/Reward: 1:3 to 1:5 depending on TP level
Confidence: 4/5 (RSI + Wedge support)
Scenario B: Bearish Continuation (Fails to Break Out)
Trigger: Break below $0.00215 with volume
Action:
Short-term panic sell possible down to $0.0015 – $0.0012
Watch for capitulation wick and rapid V-recovery
Re-entry Opportunity: If oversold bounces with large green engulfing or V-bottom reversal
🧠 Strategic Notes:
Velas is at a make-or-break point. Fundamentally, adoption and development updates from the team (esp. Alex & Co.) will heavily influence investor confidence.
DYOR Reminder: This is a highly speculative coin in an oversold state. Best used for swing trades or speculative long-term entries with tight risk control.
Injective Easy 584% Bullish Wave Now PossibleInjective is now ready after a very long period of correction. The peak for this pair happened in March 2024 and in December 2024 there was no higher high, instead, a classic lower high and now a complete ABC correction. This ABC correction comes after a perfect, long-term, 1,2,3,4,5 bullish impulse.
After this correction ends will be the start of a new bullish impulse which will lead to a new All-Time High. The 584% target on the chart is an easy one. The 209% is super easy and can be approached by all types of market participants. This is a strong project.
There is really high volume as prices move to "baseline level." This is a support zone that was created after a long consolidation in 2023. Almost 7 months of consolidation. Sideways, and now this same range that worked as resistance is working as support. Support is confirmed because volume is rising, a very strong rise. INJUSDT is about to grow.
The entire Injective bullish wave, with a bottom in 2022 and a peak in 2024 amounted to 4,631% total growth. This is perfect and the market is ready now for a new round of growth.
Feel free to accumulate; buy and hold.
Namaste.
Compound 3 Years Consolidation = Ultra-Bull Market (PP: 3,164%)Compound has been consolidating for three years now, similar to DigiByte in time but the chart situation is different, the price here is much better because it is trading lower near support.
I cannot stress it enough. You cannot fail with a pair like this one. Trading at bottom prices after years of consolidation. Once it starts going/growing you will be sitting on a very strong position. Long-term growth. Huge potential for profits vs a minimum risk potential.
Ok. I say "no leverage" but I share leveraged trades. Remember, many people so there is a little bit for everybody.
The trick is to go below 5X. If you do 3X, you are always safe basically, very little risk and you can maximize profits. 5X is also do-able. If you go beyond 5X, it is possible of course and we do it all the time but you run the risk of getting liquidated. So there are some trade-offs.
But of course, you need to do your own thing I am only sharing the charts.
Spot trading, 100% success guaranteed. Worst case scenario, a long wait.
To achieve these two you cannot use a stop-loss. If you do use a stop-loss then you can be shaken out of your position through a market flush. If you buy and hold, set it and forget it, you can win for sure long-term.
Compound has been consolidating for three years and is getting ready to move. Once it starts moving there is no going back. The longer the consolidation phase the stronger the bull market that follows.
Namaste.
Solana Still Bearish, Moving LowerI will alert you here when the bearish potential is completely nullified. Right now, Solana is still bearish. This applies to all other major projects that I shared recently but I will also update those.
The maker produced a rejection yesterday, 3-June, as a lower high. This implies a bearish continuation. The two levels mapped on the chart are the main support zone.
Since the first level is already being challenged, we can aim for the second one.
Once the correction is over, we will go bullish again.
Some of the smaller altcoins can grow while the rest of the market crashes down. Choose wisely. It will be hard right now.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Brewing - A large move is coming!Bitcoin has been under pressure over the last few trading sessions.
Despite the equity markets going higher this asset is stuck in a holding pattern.
We are currently forming a wedge pattern that has given us a directional bias to trade.
Price action is at a 50/50 in terms of falling lower or rallying higher.
Being the fact that the bulls have been forming higher lows & higher highs, we have to give them due respect.
However understand this BTC is showing some distribution signs and is likely going to have a decent selloff within the next 15-45days. We may have 1 more spike higher but we may not.
1 note of interest is the 7day & 20 day moving average just signaled a bearish crossover which is something you need to monitor closely.
I do think the upside is limited to about 115K if we have 1 more move higher.
BTCUSD: This part may be the most exciting of all.Bitcoin is on an excellent bullish 1W technical outlook (RSI = 65.366, MACD = 6742.800, ADX = 33.478) unphazed by the recent short term pullback. This is because the Cycle is only now starting is strongest phase, at least based on the historic price action of the former Cycles. After the U.S. elections in November 2024, we've crossed above the Bear Cycle neckline and on all previous Cycles, that is where the parabolic rally started. How high it can go is anybody's guess and depends largely on fundamentals (adoption, ETF, Rate Cuts) but we can agree that we will see at least 150,000 before this Cycle ends.
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BTC 12H – Slightly Different Picture
The 12H chart tells a slightly different story.
From the PSAR point of view, price has tapped it twice, but that’s not enough for confirmation.
From the system perspective, price is trading above the BB center, with both MLR and SMA also above it—this could justify small scaling.
From the S/R view, price is currently testing weekly resistance and the dotted line marking the daily close. That’s a strong reason to apply proper risk management.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Scaling in may be a valid option for those considering long exposure—if risk is managed properly.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
BTC Daily – Mixed Signals, Patience Required
From the PSAR perspective, BTC remains in a bearish phase. We need to wait for a PSAR flip to green before considering new long entries.
From the second system view, we’re also still in bearish territory. The setup will shift once MLR crosses above the SMA and BB centre. Currently, price is holding the SMA as support and has paused at the BB centre.
Looking at S/R levels, we’ve seen a solid bounce from the 3D + 5D support and are now holding at the weekly support zone.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Scaling in may be a valid option for those considering long exposure—if risk is managed properly.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
LDO - Next Impulse Starting Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
After breaking above the $0.8 major high, LDO has shifted from bearish to bullish from a long-term perspective. 📈
This week, it has been undergoing a correction phase within a falling channel marked in red. 🔻
For the bulls to take over and kick off the next impulsive wave toward the $1.5 mark, a breakout above the upper red trendline is needed. 🚀
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich